The Week 5 NFL time table for the 2023 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we have now were given you coated with what you want to grasp heading into the weekend. Our NFL Country journalists convey us the most important keys to each recreation and a daring prediction for each and every matchup.
Moreover, ESPN Stats & Knowledge supplies a large stat to grasp and a making a bet nugget for each and every contest, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) is going within the numbers with a recreation projection. Analytics creator Seth Walder selections out each and every matchup’s largest X issue, and myth analyst Eric Moody palms out useful myth soccer intel. In spite of everything, Walder and Moody give us ultimate ranking selections for each recreation. The entirety you need to grasp is right here in a single spot that will help you get in a position for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.
Let’s get into the entire Week 5 slate, together with Josh Allen vs. Trevor Lawrence in London, a large Cowboys-Niners showdown and Patrick Mahomes taking at the Vikings. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night time Soccer” matchup between the Packers and the Raiders on ESPN. (Recreation instances are Sunday except another way famous.)
Bounce to a matchup:
JAX-BUF | HOU-ATL | CAR-DET
TEN-IND | NYG-MIA | NO-NE
BAL-PIT | PHI-LAR | CIN-ARI
NYJ-DEN | KC-MIN | DAL-SF
GB-LV
Thursday: CHI 40, WSH 20
Bye: CLE, LAC, SEA, TB
9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Community | Unfold: BUF -5.5 (48.5)
Storyline to observe: Whilst it is a Expenses “house” recreation, the Jaguars are on the second one of back-to-back weeks in London, which means that Jacksonville has the time zone enjoy benefit. However the Jaguars will probably be challenged to decelerate a Expenses offense that is averaging 5.9 yards according to play (fourth) whilst the Jaguars’ protection is permitting 5.4 yards according to play (twenty second). — Alaina Getzenberg
Daring prediction: QB Josh Allen will ranking a landing, and so will … LB Josh Allen. No longer a large deal if Buffalo’s Allen runs for a TD — he has 40 over his profession, together with two this yr — however Jacksonville’s Allen has only one TD in his five-year profession: a 37-yard fumble go back that gave the Jaguars a 20-16 victory over Tennessee in Week 18 closing season. — Mike DiRocco
Stat to grasp: QB Allen had 4 landing passes closing week, the tenth such recreation in his profession. He’s tied with Jim Kelly for probably the most in Expenses franchise historical past. The closing quarterback to throw 4 TD passes in consecutive video games used to be Joe Burrow in Weeks 16-17 in 2021.
Matchup X issue: Jaguars cornerbacks Tyson Campbell and Darious Williams. Jacksonville has a robust run protection, and if those two corners — who each have allowed not up to reasonable yards according to protection snap this season, in line with NFL Subsequent Gen Stats — can decelerate the Expenses’ passing assault, the Jaguars have an opportunity. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Jaguars’ protection lets in the second-most myth issues to tight ends. Rookie TE Dalton Kincaid did not have a perfect recreation towards the Dolphins, however he did catch 4 of 5 goals for 27 yards. He ran extra routes and used to be extra concerned within the passing recreation than Dawson Knox. The degree is ready for Kincaid to have a breakout efficiency. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Doug Pederson is 32-23 towards the unfold (ATS) in his profession as an underdog, together with playoffs. He’s 9-6 ATS as an underdog to the Expenses. Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Expenses 31, Jaguars 24
Walder’s select: Expenses 33, Jaguars 20
FPI prediction: BUF, 79.5% (by means of a median of eleven.3 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Jaguars’ offense takes child steps in London … Expenses’ offense chasing historical past in the back of Allen, Diggs … Who has to step up for Expenses after White’s Achilles tear?
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: ATL -1.5 (41.5)
Storyline to observe: Atlanta’s house/highway splits with Desmond Ridder at quarterback are stark — 4-0 and finishing 67.9% of his passes with 4 touchdowns and one interception at house, 0-4 with a 58.6% of completion price, 1 landing and a pair of interceptions at the highway. That’ll be a captivating factor to observe because the Texans have allowed quarterbacks to finish passes at a excessive clip (71.9%) when they are at the highway, even though they have got given up just one passing landing. — Michael Rothstein
Daring prediction: The Falcons’ passing assault will probably be held to below 110 yards and can flip the ball over a couple of instances. The Texans are considered one of six groups with extra interceptions (3) than passing touchdowns allowed (2) and power quarterbacks on 44% in their dropbacks, the third-highest price. Ridder has been sacked 16 instances, fourth maximum within the NFL, and the Falcons reasonable the fewest passing yards according to recreation (156). — DJ Bien-Aime
Stat to grasp: Houston quarterback C.J. Stroud has thrown 0 interceptions in his first 151 passing makes an attempt, the third-most passing makes an attempt with out an interception to start out a profession in NFL historical past (Dak Prescott, 176, and Tua Tagovailoa, 152). Stroud will face Jessie Bates III, who has amassed 3 interceptions this season (tied for probably the most within the NFL).
Matchup X issue: Ridder. He has only a 29 QBR this season, and that is the reason nowhere close to excellent sufficient to get the Atlanta offense going. The Falcons want extra from him if they’re going to beat a frisky Texans squad. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Texans’ protection has carried out a very good activity containing vast receivers — permitting the sixth-fewest myth issues according to recreation to the location. They do, then again, surrender the seventh-most myth issues according to recreation to operating backs, so be expecting the Falcons to double down at the operating recreation. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Falcons are 0-3 ATS of their previous 3 video games. Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Texans 24, Falcons 23
Walder’s select: Texans 24, Falcons 17
FPI prediction: ATL, 52.5% (by means of a median of 0.9 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Stroud continues to rewrite historical past in win over Steelers … Smith sticking with Ridder as QB1 … Inexperienced (knee) out indefinitely … Ridder tosses 2 INTs, says he did ‘horrible activity’
0:48
Will have to myth managers pass after C.J. Stroud?
Eric Moody breaks down why C.J. Stroud will proceed to be discussed as a best waiver twine pickup.
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: DET -10 (44)
Storyline to observe: The Panthers are nonetheless searching for their first win of the season however must decelerate a potent Lions offense to get it. Detroit’s offense has scored a minimum of 20 issues in 13 instantly video games — which is tied for the longest streak in franchise historical past (1995) — and may just get every other spice up with the go back of vast receiver Jameson Williams, whose suspension for violating the NFL’s playing coverage used to be diminished closing week. Carolina’s protection has allowed a minimum of 20 issues in each recreation this season. — Eric Woodyard
Daring prediction: Detroit QB Jared Goff will move for a season-high 350 yards and 4 touchdowns. The Panthers will tighten up their porous run protection. Then again, they will not be able to power Goff, who’s going towards a secondary that is lacking two starters (CB Jaycee Horn, S Xavier Woods) and may well be down a 3rd if CB Donte Jackson (shoulder) does not play. — David Newton
Stat to grasp: Lions tight finish Sam LaPorta has 22 receptions this season, 1/3 amongst learners and 1/3 amongst tight ends. With 3 receptions on Sunday, he would be the 1/3 tight finish with 25 receptions within the first 5 video games of his profession since 1950, becoming a member of Keith Jackson (29 in 1988) and Jordan Reed (26 in 2013).
Matchup X issue: Panthers receivers DJ Chark Jr., Jonathan Mingo and Terrace Marshall Jr. Carolina merely wishes extra out of its wideouts, with the exception of Adam Thielen, to reinforce slow-starting QB Bryce Younger. Mingo and Marshall are within the backside 5 within the Receiver Monitoring Metrics‘ total ranking amongst vast receivers (Chark hasn’t performed sufficient to qualify). — Walder
What to grasp for myth: No crew this season has eclipsed 90 yards speeding towards Detroit, which has held warring parties to 243 general speeding yards. The Panthers may just depend closely on Hayden Hurst, Thielen and Chark on Sunday. Towards tight ends, the Lions’ protection offers up the fourth-most myth issues. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Panthers trainer Frank Reich is 5-2-1 ATS in his profession as a minimum of a 6-point underdog. Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Lions 30, Panthers 14
Walder’s select: Lions 27, Panthers 17
FPI prediction: DET, 77.1% (by means of a median of 10.2 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Why Panthers don’t seem to be panicking about Younger, offense … Reinstated from playing suspension, is Williams in the end in a position to release? … At 0-4, Panthers’ offense, Younger are failing each and every different … Campbell units real looking expectancies for Williams
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: TEN -2 (43)
Storyline to observe: The Titans have gained 5 instantly conferences with the Colts and 6 of the previous seven between the golf equipment. The Colts’ closing win within the collection got here on Nov. 12, 2020, with Philip Rivers at QB. Moreover, the Colts have now misplaced seven consecutive video games at house, their closing win at Lucas Oil Stadium approaching Oct. 16, 2022, towards the Jaguars. — Stephen Holder
Daring prediction: WR DeAndre Hopkins will file his first 100-yard receiving recreation for the Titans. Hopkins’ 65 yards towards the Saints in Week 1 has been his supreme time out, however the Colts’ move protection has allowed 263.8 yards according to recreation thru 4 video games this season. Indianapolis will probably be with out beginning CB Dallis Flora, so Hopkins may have a main alternative to profit from the matchup towards a reserve nook on one aspect and rookie JuJu Brents at the different. However he’s going to face a larger problem within the slot towards Kenny Moore II. — Turron Davenport
Stat to grasp: The Titans have scored fewer than 30 issues in 22 instantly video games, the longest energetic streak in NFL and tied for longest streak in franchise historical past (22 instantly in 1966-67).
Matchup X issue: Colts operating again Jonathan Taylor. He is a real X issue within the sense that we do not know what his position will probably be Sunday, however he can fee up the Colts’ floor recreation if he performs a vital quantity and is the 2021 model of himself. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Titans’ protection has allowed vast receivers the ninth-most myth issues according to recreation this season. Michael Pittman Jr. has averaged 9.8 goals and 14.0 myth issues according to recreation in six profession video games towards Tennessee. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Titans have coated 5 instantly conferences. Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Colts 24, Titans 21
Walder’s select: Colts 20, Titans 16
FPI prediction: TEN, 55.6% (by means of a median of two issues)
Matchup must-reads: Henry throws 4th profession landing move in Titans’ win … Richardson’s poise is protecting Colts in video games
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: MIA -11 (48.5)
Storyline to observe: The Giants rank useless closing in price of move makes an attempt with a sack allowed at 17.2%. In the meantime, the Dolphins have generated sacks on simply 6.7% of warring parties’ dropbacks. Dolphins gamers and coaches have publicly mentioned that Sunday isn’t a “get proper” recreation, however Miami’s protection has a possibility to proper the send towards a reeling Giants offensive line. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Daring prediction: The Dolphins’ high-flying offense won’t ever take off towards the Giants and will probably be held to below 24 issues. New York performed its supreme defensive recreation Monday evening and is 6th within the NFL with a 51.9% move rush win price. It’ll have some luck developing havoc towards a Miami offensive line that will probably be lacking left take on Terron Armstead. — Jordan Raanan
Stat to grasp: Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa ranks first in yards according to strive on throws with movement, on fast throws below 2.5 seconds and on passes between the numbers. The Giants’ protection ranks twenty fourth or worse in all of the ones spaces this season.
Matchup X issue: Dolphins take on Kendall Lamm. Lamm has stuffed in for the injured Armstead admirably with a 96% move block win price. Miami wishes him to stick with it to stay Tagovailoa upright. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Giants’ warring parties have rushed for the eighth-most yards according to recreation. The Dolphins lead the league with 176.8 speeding yards according to recreation. It is once more a excellent week to start out a Miami operating again. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Giants are 0-4 ATS this season. Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Dolphins 42, Giants 17
Walder’s select: Dolphins 35, Giants 24
FPI prediction: MIA, 87% (by means of a median of 15.5 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Giants wish to do ‘higher activity’ of having Waller concerned … Hill within the chase for Calvin Johnson’s receiving file … Neal apologizes for lashing out at booing lovers
1:04
Ryan Clark: Dolphins have maximum explosive offense since ‘The Largest Display on Turf’
Ryan Clark raves about Mike McDaniel and the Dolphins’ offense after Miami submit 70 issues on Denver.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: NE -1 (39)
Storyline to observe: The Patriots rank thirtieth in scoring reasonable (13.8) and the Saints (15.5) are tied for twenty fifth. One main factor for the Patriots has been their turnover differential (minus-5), which ranks twenty seventh within the NFL. One main factor for the Saints has been their purple zone offense, which ranks closing within the NFL with simply 4 TDs in 12 journeys. — Mike Reiss
Daring prediction: The Saints will power two turnovers towards the Patriots. Whilst New Orleans’ offense has struggled, the protection has been ready to capitalize a couple of instances, getting an interception in 3 of 4 video games and forcing a fumble in the only recreation with out a select. Patriots QB Mac Jones has thrown 4 interceptions this season, and the Saints are poised to get C Paulson Adebo again from harm, which might imply a main alternative for them. — Katherine Terrell
Stat to grasp: The Patriots have the worst move block win price within the NFL (39.7%). And Jones is suffering throwing downfield — he is 0-12 on passes of 25-plus yards.
Matchup X issue: Patriots cornerback J.C. Jackson. Which Jackson will New England get: the participant who used to be a standout for the Patriots for years or the one that used to be a legal responsibility for the Chargers? The variance is excessive right here and may just topic relatively just a little, given the Patriots’ banged-up secondary. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Saints’ defensive entrance lets in simplest 103.3 speeding yards according to recreation. There’s a excellent probability that New England’s operating recreation gets again on course faster than later, however it’s not likely to occur towards the Saints. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Saints trainer Dennis Allen is 21-35-1 ATS in his profession (.375). Out of coaches with a minimum of 50 video games within the Tremendous Bowl generation, he has the worst duvet share. Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Patriots 17, Saints 14
Walder’s select: Patriots 23, Saints 20
FPI prediction: NE, 53.8% (by means of a median of one.4 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Saints taking a look to rectify scoring woes … Why it is no wonder Belichick traded for Jackson … Saints leaned closely on Kamara in his season debut … O’Brien downplays Jones’ struggles as ‘uncharacteristic’
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: BAL -4 (38)
Storyline to observe: In spite of maintaining a bone bruise to his left knee towards the Texans, Steelers QB Kenny Pickett says he’s going to be in a position to play Sunday. Pickett hasn’t had a perfect begin to the season, with a 29.3 QBR thru 4 video games, rating twenty ninth. However in closing yr’s Week 17 win towards the Ravens, he recorded an 82.5 QBR — his absolute best of the season. Bouncing again towards the Ravens’ protection, even though, is a tall process. The Ravens have allowed opposing quarterbacks to finish simply 61% of passes and they have got recorded 15 sacks, moment maximum within the NFL. — Brooke Pryor
Daring prediction: Ravens QB Lamar Jackson will toss 4 landing passes for the primary time since September 2022. The Steelers are the one crew that Jackson has thrown extra interceptions (6) than landing passes (4) towards in his six-year profession. However Pittsburgh has allowed 8 landing passes this season, which is the fourth maximum within the league. — Jamison Hensley
Stat to grasp: Jackson has finished 74.3% of his passes this season, the second-best share within the NFL. He may just develop into the primary beginning QB to finish 70% of his passes in each and every of his crew’s first 5 video games since Derek Carr in 2020.
Matchup X issue: Ravens vast receiver Zay Flora. The Receiver Monitoring Metrics make Flora appear to be a success thus far. His 77 Open Rating ranks 8th amongst vast receivers in 2023. That is a large assist to the Ravens’ offense. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Steelers’ protection has allowed some very good performances to No. 1 receivers. Davante Adams, Nico Collins, Brandon Aiyuk and Amari Cooper averaged 31.7 myth issues towards Pittsburgh. Flora leads the Ravens with 29 goals. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Steelers are 51-29-3 ATS as underdogs below Mike Tomlin (.637), the most productive file within the NFL in that span. Tomlin is 43-40 outright as an underdog. Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Ravens 21, Steelers 17
Walder’s select: Ravens 27, Steelers 10
FPI prediction: BAL, 71.8% (by means of a median of 8 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Why Jackson and Ravens best NFL in purple zone … Pickett (knee) says he expects to play Sunday … Omit QB, the Steelers should work out the way to run the ball
4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: PHI -4.5 (50.5)
Storyline to observe: The Eagles have long gone 3 instantly video games with 400 or extra yards and feature an NFL-high 13 video games with a minimum of 400 yards because the get started of 2022. The Rams have now not allowed greater than 400 yards in a recreation this season and are permitting a median of 295.8 yards according to recreation, which ranks 9th within the NFL. — Sarah Barshop
Daring prediction: Rams QB Matthew Stafford will throw 3 landing passes, doubling his season general. The Eagles have yielded 9 touchdowns in the course of the air this season, 1/3 worst in the back of simplest the Broncos (13) and Bears (10). Stafford has an opportunity to gentle it up, particularly if receiver Cooper Kupp (hamstring) returns to the lineup as was hoping. — Tim McManus
Stat to grasp: Rams rookie WR Puka Nacua has 39 receptions for 501 yards this season (each are probably the most thru 4 profession video games in NFL historical past). He wishes one reception and 43 receiving yards for probably the most thru 5 profession video games.
Matchup X issue: Kupp. It continues to be noticed if and what sort of he’s going to play, but when he does, this will probably be our first window into the Kupp and Nacua offense. Given Nacua’s breakout and Kupp’s go back, the Rams’ offense seems a lot more unhealthy than we idea ahead of the season. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Eagles’ secondary has struggled this season, permitting the sixth-most passing yards according to recreation. Be able to insert the Rams’ pass-catchers into your myth lineups. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: That is the twenty fifth consecutive get started within the steady season Eagles QB Jalen Hurts is appreciated in. Hurts is 23-2 outright and 13-10-2 ATS in his profession as a favourite (22-2, 12-10-2 ATS throughout streak). Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Eagles 34, Rams 31
Walder’s select: Eagles 30, Rams 23
FPI prediction: PHI, 55.9% (by means of a median of two.1 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Carter placing in combination early DROY candidacy? … Nacua chasing Calvin Johnson’s single-season receiving file
0:37
Why Erin Dolan expects a large number of move makes an attempt from Matthew Stafford
Erin Dolan says her supreme wager is Matthew Stafford to throw over 38.5 move makes an attempt this upcoming week towards the Eagles.
4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: CIN -3 (44.5)
Storyline to observe: Except for closing week towards 49ers QB Brock Purdy, the Cardinals had been relatively excellent towards quarterbacks in first halves this season, conserving Sam Howell, Daniel Jones and Dak Prescott to 2 touchdowns and two interceptions mixed whilst sacking all 3 8 general instances. Arizona will attempt to stay it going towards Joe Burrow, who has gotten off to deficient begins all season and has been sacked 8 instances. — Josh Weinfuss
Daring prediction: The Cardinals will rush for 175 yards. Cincinnati is thirty first in rush protection (giving up a median of 157.0 yards according to recreation), and Arizona is moment in speeding yards according to strive (5.3). Mix the ones elements, and this generally is a day for Arizona to make its presence felt at the floor. — Ben Child
Stat to grasp: Arizona QB Joshua Dobbs has thrown 4 landing passes and no interceptions this season. No Cardinals participant has ever had 5 passing touchdowns and nil interceptions in his first 5 begins with the crew since starters had been first tracked in 1950.
Matchup X issue: Bengals guards Alex Cappa and Cordell Volson. They rank sixty fifth and 67th out of 67 qualifying guards in move block win price. Burrow is obviously now not at 100% and wishes higher coverage if he will get again on course. — Walder
Accidents: Bengals | Cardinals
What to grasp for myth: The Bengals’ protection has allowed the sixth-most speeding yards to operating backs. Derrick Henry scored 24.4 myth issues towards Cincinnati’s protection closing week. The Bengals will now face James Conner. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Burrow is 27-18-1 ATS in his profession however is 0-3-1 ATS this season. He has failed to hide 5 instantly regular-season video games. Previous to this present streak, he had by no means long gone longer than two instantly video games with out a duvet. Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Cardinals 24, Bengals 20
Walder’s select: Bengals 23, Cardinals 17
FPI prediction: CIN, 64.3% (by means of a median of five.1 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Higgins would possibly attempt to play with damaged ribs … Dobbs’ legs give Cardinals’ offense a distinct dynamic … Bengals want win vs. Cardinals for morale … Will have to, may just and would the Cardinals transfer on from Murray?
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: DEN -2 (43.5)
Storyline to observe: Jets RB Breece Corridor will probably be up towards the league’s worst run protection. The Broncos are closing, or close to closing, in each main statistical class on protection. Their run protection is permitting 176 yards speeding according to recreation, whilst the Jets have averaged 95.5 rush yards thru 4 video games. — Jeff Legwold
Daring prediction: Corridor will ranking two touchdowns for his first journeys to the tip zone since Oct. 23, 2022, in Denver. That day, he scored on a 62-yard run however used to be carried out for the season a little while after when he tore an ACL. Corridor, who now not has playing-time barriers, must have a lot of alternatives towards Denver’s inviting run protection. — Wealthy Cimini
Stat to grasp: The Jets rank closing in third-down conversion share (27%) on offense this season, averaging the fewest performs according to pressure (4.7) within the NFL.
Matchup X issue: Jets quarterback Zach Wilson. The participant we noticed within the moment part towards the Chiefs appeared completely other from, frankly, the remainder of Wilson’s profession. Will he stick with it? I am skeptical for the reason that pattern of him gambling poorly is such a lot higher. However we’re going to see. Thankfully for Wilson, the Broncos’ protection is a large number. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: Although the Jets’ secondary is ambitious, the Broncos have the most productive probability of attacking the protection with their operating backs. The New York protection has allowed warring parties to hurry for the fifth-most yards according to recreation. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Broncos video games have long gone over the full in 3 instantly and 8 of the previous 9 video games relationship again to closing season. Previous to that reach, 11 of the Broncos’ first 12 video games closing season went below. Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Jets 21, Broncos 17
Walder’s select: Jets 23, Broncos 20
FPI prediction: NYJ, 54.6% (by means of a median of one.6 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Corridor heading to Denver with out ‘pitch rely’ … Gregory’s unencumber speaks to greater issues on protection … Hackett returns to Denver with one thing to turn out … Broncos have firepower with learners Mims, McLaughlin
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: KC -4 (52.5)
Storyline to observe: QB Patrick Mahomes has confronted — and defeated — each opposing NFL crew apart from the Vikings, who’ve been the NFL’s maximum blitz-heavy crew this season with a 55% price. However will they dare use it towards Mahomes, who, because the get started of the 2020 season, has the NFL’s supreme QBR (89.0) towards the blitz? — Kevin Seifert
Daring prediction: Mahomes will throw for 300 yards and may not have an interception. This sort of recreation was a staple for him, however now not this yr. He has had just one 300-yard recreation and one with out throwing a select. However the Vikings are twenty first in opponent QBR and yards allowed and feature only one interception. — Adam Teicher
Stat to grasp: Vikings QB Kirk Cousins has 11 passing touchdowns this season, probably the most within the NFL. He has thrown a couple of landing passes in each recreation this season, the second-longest streak by means of a Vikings participant to start out the season because the 1970 merger (Tommy Kramer, six instantly in 1981).
Matchup X issue: Vikings vast receiver Jordan Addison. Close out on only a unmarried goal in closing week’s recreation, Addison must be a succesful danger if the Vikings are going to stay alongside of the Chiefs’ offense. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco has had the fourth-highest luck price (46%) amongst operating backs since getting into the league in 2022, in line with NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. His skill to create yards after touch and power ignored tackles may be spectacular. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS of their previous seven highway video games. Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Chiefs 34, Vikings 23
Walder’s select: Chiefs 34, Vikings 28
FPI prediction: KC, 67.6% (by means of a median of 6.3 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Mahomes takes blame for Chiefs’ passing-game issues … Can Jefferson catch Calvin Johnson?
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: SF -4 (45)
Storyline to observe: It is arduous to discover a Week 5 recreation extra attractive than this, as those two traditionally a success franchises renew their longstanding competition. In a recreation the place turnovers all the time topic, they tackle higher significance when two proficient heavyweights conflict. Dallas leads the league with 10 takeaways, whilst the Niners have only one giveaway at the season, tied with Dallas and Seattle for the fewest within the NFL. San Francisco beat Dallas within the divisional spherical closing season partially as it used to be plus-1 in turnover margin. It stands to reason why the end result on this one will experience closely once more on which aspect takes higher care of the ball. — Nick Wagoner
Daring prediction: Niners QB Brock Purdy may have a move intercepted. He has now not had a move picked off in his previous 5 regular-season appearances. He used to be now not intercepted within the win towards Dallas within the divisional spherical, both. And he’s coming off a recreation by which he had only one incompletion. So why will the Cowboys have a select? That is what they do. CB DaRon Bland is coming off a recreation with two interceptions, together with one returned for a landing. The Cowboys have seven interceptions at the season — simplest Buffalo has extra (8). Someday, Purdy has to throw one to the opposite crew. — Todd Archer
Stat to grasp: Purdy has torched guy protection, rating within the best 3 in QBR, yards according to strive and touchdown-to-interception ratio since getting into the NFL closing season. He’s going to face a Cowboys protection that has performed guy protection on the absolute best price within the NFL because the get started of closing season.
Matchup X issue: Cowboys linebacker Leighton Vander Esch. Niners trainer Kyle Shanahan is infamous for focused on opposing linebackers together with his offense. Dallas will want Vander Esch to be on his recreation. Just right information for the Cowboys: He has allowed simply 0.2 yards according to protection snap this season, according to NFL Subsequent Gen Stats, which is very good. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: This season, the 49ers are permitting simplest 3.9 yards according to speeding strive. This may not be RB Tony Pollard‘s breakout recreation. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Cowboys are 26-12 ATS prior to now 3 seasons, tied with the Lions for the most productive file in that span. They’re 13-6 ATS at the highway in that span, tied with the Bengals and Cardinals for the most productive file. Learn extra.
Moody’s select: 49ers 27, Cowboys 20
Walder’s select: 49ers 26, Cowboys 21
FPI prediction: SF, 55% (by means of a median of one.8 issues)
Matchup must-reads: What Cowboys noticed in Lance and what is subsequent for the previous 49ers QB … 49ers-Cowboys competition is present process a renaissance … Playoff losses to 49ers have Cowboys motivated forward of Week 5 tilt … Omit regression, it sort of feels like Purdy is in truth getting higher
1:14
Why Cowboys’ Week 5 recreation vs. the 49ers is a ‘must-win’
Marcus Spears explains that the Cowboys wish to beat the 49ers as a self assurance spice up after shedding two instantly playoff video games to San Francisco.
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Unfold: GB -1 (44.5)
Storyline to observe: Now we have a getting-more-frustrated-by-the-loss Davante Adams vs. his former crew. The Raiders All-Professional receiver mentioned it might be “bizarre” to appear around the box throughout warmups and notice the ones acquainted gold and inexperienced helmets with the outsized “G” on them after spending his first 8 seasons with the Packers. Now in his moment yr with Las Vegas, Adams wishes one TD catch to surpass Antonio Brown (31) and Jimmy Graham (31) for the fourth-most TD receptions in prime-time video games in NFL historical past, trailing Corridor of Famers Jerry Rice (46), Randy Moss (44) and Terrell Owens (34). — Paul Gutierrez
Daring prediction: Inexperienced Bay WR Romeo Doubs may have a greater stat line than Adams — if Adams performs — on Monday evening. Doubs has been in comparison to him by means of some within the Packers group, and here is his probability to turn it is a worthy comparability. Doubs’ 3 landing catches are probably the most by means of a Packers receiver within the crew’s first 4 video games of a season since Adams in 2018. Doubs will upload to that. — Rob Demovsky
Stat to grasp: Packers QB Jordan Love has thrown a minimum of one passing landing in all 5 of his profession begins. He’s the one Packer to throw a landing in each and every of his first 5 begins since 1950.
Matchup X issue: Raiders pass-rushers outdoor of Maxx Crosby. Las Vegas is getting not anything from that staff. Bilal Nichols, Adam Butler, Tyree Wilson, John Jenkins and Jerry Tillery all have a 6% move rush win price or worse. The Raiders’ protection wishes extra. — Walder
What to grasp for myth: The Packers’ operating recreation is nonexistent this season. Inexperienced Bay ranks thirtieth with 74.5 speeding yards according to recreation. See Week 5 ratings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Raiders are 0-3 ATS of their previous 3 video games. Josh McDaniels is 16-27 ATS in his previous 43 video games as a head trainer (began 6-0 ATS). Learn extra.
Moody’s select: Packers 23, Raiders 20
Walder’s select: Raiders 19, Packers 16
FPI prediction: GB, 54.7% (by means of a median of one.7 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Why Packers have fallen in the back of Lions in NFC North — for now … Jacobs, Raiders have struggled operating the ball, however is a step forward coming? … Long term unclear for Bakhtiari after 4th surgical procedure … Jacobs says frustration mounting for ‘undisciplined’ Raiders