College Football Playoff forecasts: Texas-Oklahoma effect

Simply how huge is this year’s Red River competition video game in between No. 3 Texas and No. 12 Oklahoma?

It’s huge. It might be the last time a Huge 12 face-off happens in between Texas and Oklahoma unless they reunite in the championship game video game. Next year, they will remain in the SEC. Both groups go into Saturday’s video game (twelve noon ET, ABC/ESPN App) unbeaten, and the winner takes a huge action towards the Huge 12 title contest.

Texas-Oklahoma likewise has huge ramifications on the College Football Playoff race: It’s the second-most impactful staying video game prior to championship game, behind just Penn State– Ohio State on Oct. 21, according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor

Presently, Oklahoma (53%) and Texas (50%) are the 2nd- and third-most most likely groups to reach the CFP, behind just Ohio State (54%).

Here are the possibilities for Oklahoma and Texas to reach the College Football Playoff, depending upon Saturday’s outcome:

Oklahoma with a win: 72%
Oklahoma with a loss: 30%
Texas with a win: 73%
Texas with a loss: 29%

Oklahoma likewise has a possibility to triumph. The Sooners have a 24% opportunity to complete the routine season 12-0. They have more than an 88% opportunity to beat each of their staying non-Texas video games in the routine season (and a 54% opportunity to beat Texas).

The video game likewise has considerable utilize on the opportunity to reach the Huge 12 national championship:

Oklahoma with a win: 96%
Oklahoma with a loss: 70%
Texas with a win: 91%
Texas with a loss: 67%

The extraordinary parity in the playoff race is still holding strong: There are 10 groups with a minimum of a 20% opportunity to reach the CFP and 13 groups with a minimum of a 5% possibility.

On The Other Hand, in the SEC …

Another race with a take advantage of video game is Kentucky– Georgia in the SEC East. The Bulldogs are heavy favorites (86% opportunity to win) however if Kentucky manages the upset there will be significant ramifications.

Possibility to win SEC East, depending upon outcome:

Kentucky with a win: 38%
Kentucky with a loss: 1%
Georgia with a win: 87%
Georgia with a loss: 40%

Likewise, Alabama– Texas A&M has huge repercussions in the SEC West. Alabama has a 66% possibility to win the video game, per FPI.

Possibility to win SEC West, depending upon outcome:

Alabama with a win: 86%
Alabama with a loss: 34%
Texas A&M with a win: 42%
Texas A&M with a loss: 2%